Hey there! Long time lurker here. I registered here specifically to say one thing:
Guys, the sky isn't falling. Certainly not yet.
In fact, the campaign has been doing rather well so far, and I am sure Chris and Aaron are actually quite happy with it's success so far.
But I'd like to get some misconceptions out of the way.
First of all, most popular gaming and adventure campaigns have been running for a month. Tim Schafer used that time frame, Leisure Suit Larry did it, Wasteland did it as well. In fact, only Jane Jensen has used 45 days so far, and I remember the gaming community criticizing her for choosing such an extensive campaign length, back when it started.
In fact, back then I read in several places, that longer campaigns don't earn more money on average, since you also get more people removing their pledges over time, people changing their mind about the pledged amount, etc. It evens out.
Now, in Jane's case, 45 days were actually a wise choice, as it turns out that the beginning of her campaign was actually very muddled and incomprehensible to a lot of the audience. She needed some time to turn things around. And she suceeded in the end.
However, if you are worried about Tex, check out the Kicktraq graph of Jane's project. She did 22.000 on her first and by far best day. Ever since then it's been about 9.000 a days with occasional spikes inbetween.
http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/100536 ... -2013-csg/
Now, in comparison, you can have a look at the Leisure Suit Larry project. Just like Tex, that project is based on a legendary adventure game developer returning to his franchise after a long absence.
http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/leisur ... ome-again/
As you can see, Larry had a huge amount of pledgers (and pledges) in the first two days (however, Larry started much later in the day - so it's more like a day and a half). However, the money raised was pretty much comparable to what Tex did in that timeframe. After that, it bottomed out to lots of days with 10 - 20.000 dollars raised. But once again, whenever the project makers announced something new, posted a cool update, or specific media sources reported, there were some quite amazing spikes.
This can, should and probably will hapenn for Tex too. After all Larry raised 650.000 in the end.
Tex will never raise the money Double Fine got. Nor will he raise what Wasteland and Shadowrun earned. But despite that, there's a lot of people out there, who have very fond memories of the character.
At times it will be rough. On some days we will despair, on others we will be over the (Killing) Moon with happiness. But if you guys despair right now, you are not doing yourself any favours. So far, day 3 has been going pretty much as day 2 went. That's not a bad sign.
But for the days ahead ... things WILL get worser. And then, they will get better again. But if Chris and Aaron play the media game in the right way, they will suceed. If not, I'll go and eat my Fedora.